Vanderbilt CPM
(Coarctation Prediction Model)
Estimate the risk of developing a coarctation of the aorta in neonates with a PDA.
Based on Soslow et al., A Clinical Prediction Model to Estimate the Risk for Coarctation of the Aorta in the Presence of a Patent Ductus Arteriosus J Am Soc Echocardiog. 2013
Inputs
Use the same measurement unit for all measures.
Output
Probability: ---
| Ratio | Value |
|---|---|
| CA to DT : | |
| DT to CA_SC : | |
| Isthmus to DAO : |
Info
Perform measurements as per the illustration:
[image courtesy of J. Soslow]
The model relies on calculated ratios of these various measurements. It does not matter if you use mm, cm, or furlongs- just be consistent.
More
Low Risk: "In a study of 154 neonates, 77 had a CoA probability of <15% and none of those patient developed CoA of the aorta."
Moderate Risk: "In a study of 154 neonates, 23 had a CoA probability of 15-60%, 4 of which had CoA."
High Risk: "In a study of 154 neonates, 56 had a CoA probability >60% and 54 of those had CoA (96%)."
Disclaimer: Not intended as clinical or surgical referral advice. Read full disclaimer here.